Predict+ Tokens

Tokenomics

Predict+ Tokens: Event-specific tokens utilizing Stable+ smart contract mechanics, paired with the main the market was created on (STASIS in the first deployment). Each prediction market has one Predict+ token, not individual outcome tokens. The token's price cannot fall in its base asset, whether or not you bet. A sale still receives less than the quoted price, more so on a large sale.

Transaction Fees: A bet or a trade in the Predict+ token pays the 0.60% base fee plus the market's creator fee. The base fee flows through the standard fee split and the creator fee goes to the market's creator. There is no winning-pot recycling and no bounty pool.

A bet's base fee splits 10% to the vault of the token's main, 10% to the operating team, 15% and 5% to the trader's two referrers, and 60% to the BASIS buyback (80% when the trader has no referrer). A trade of the Predict+ token on the DEX also sends 15% to SOCIAL, which pays the authors of Alpha+ posts on the token, so the buyback gets 45% (65% with no referrer). The creator fee is paid in full to the market's creator; market tokens have no rewards fee.

Four Ways to Participate: Trade, Hold, Bet, or Borrow

Unlike traditional prediction markets where you can only bet on outcomes, Basis Predict+ tokens are multi-utility assets:

1. Hold for Price Appreciation (Investment Strategy)

  • Each prediction event launches its own Predict+ token (using Stable+ technology)
  • Token price cannot fall in its base asset, because slippage is retained in the pool. This is a contract property, not a guarantee of outcome.
  • As event gains attention and volume increases, token price rises
  • Gain from popularity WITHOUT betting on any outcome (before fees and slippage)

Example: Super Bowl Predict+ token launches at $1.00. As the game approaches and volume increases, the token price rises to $1.50. Your tokens are then quoted 50% higher whatever the outcome; a sale receives less than the quote, after fees and slippage.

2. Bet on Outcomes (Prediction Strategy)

  • A bet is converted into the market's Predict+ token and joins the market's pot. You can bet with USDG, STASIS, the Predict+ token itself or another BASIS token you hold
  • Basis runs pari-mutuel: winners split the entire losing pool, uncapped (vs Polymarket's $1/share cap)
  • Share prices start equal across outcomes (50% each for binary)
  • Prices adjust as shares are purchased, reflecting market sentiment

Example: You bet on Team A. If Team A wins, you receive your share of the whole pot, in proportion to your shares. No cap on winnings.

3. Use as Loan Collateral (Liquidity Strategy)

  • Predict+ tokens qualify for 100% LTV loans (no price liquidation)
  • Borrow the pair asset (USDG on the first main) WITHOUT selling your position
  • Keep tokens for appreciation AND use the borrowed funds for other opportunities
  • Repay loan from winnings or other sources

4. Trade the Volatility (Trading Strategy)

  • Token price increases based on event news and sentiment
  • Trade tokens on DEX like any other Basis token
  • The price cannot fall in its base asset, so the token is not quoted below where you bought it. A sale receives less than the quoted price, more so on a large sale. That is a contract property, not a guarantee of outcome.
  • AI agents can trade prediction tokens 24/7 based on real-time data feeds

The Complete Predict+ Token Lifecycle

Phase 1: Launch and Presale. The event creator pays no creation fee today. A public market needs a seed from the creator, set per main (for example, where one unit is 1 USDG: currently at least 50 USDG for Basis Managed or 10 USDG for Creator Managed); a private market needs none. The seed is the creator's own position on every outcome. The token can start with an optional presale. In the app, the token price starts at 1.00 of the main's pair asset.

Phase 2: Trading and Appreciation. Token trades freely on DEX. Price appreciates with demand via slippage retention. Holders can take loans against tokens. Trading fees generate revenue for ecosystem.

Phase 3: Betting Period. Users bet on outcomes; each bet joins the market's pot. OR continue holding/trading. OR use as collateral for loans. Multiple strategies available simultaneously.

Phase 4: Resolution and Aftermath. Resolution system confirms outcome (Basis Managed or Creator Managed). Winners redeem their share of the pot for USDG (no time limit). Post-resolution: selling burns tokens, slippage stays in the pool, price goes up in its base asset. A sale still gets less than the quoted price. Patient holders can exit at higher prices than early sellers.

Why This Changes Everything

For Token Holders: No forced betting. A price that cannot fall in its base asset. Liquidity through loans.

For Bettors: Uncapped pari-mutuel payouts. Fair odds via AMM.

For Creators: No creation fee today. A creator fee you set yourself, up to 1% of every bet and trade on your market token (0 until you set it), plus 20% of loan fees on it and of unwon prize money.

For AI Agents: Create prediction markets from real-time data feeds. Trade 24/7. Earn USDG fee revenue that funds compute costs directly.